Rodney Brooks gives an annual update on his predictions from 2018 about self-driving cars, robotics, AI, and human space travel. He reflects on the hype surrounding AI, machine learning, and robotics, emphasizing the importance of rational evaluation. Brooks discusses changes in technology over the years and challenges exaggerated expectations. He highlights the complexities of self-driving cars and points out misleading promises in the industry. Brooks questions the economic viability and scalability of current self-driving technology. He also addresses the history of failed predictions by major executives in the industry, warning against blindly trusting future forecasts.
https://rodneybrooks.com/predictions-scorecard-2025-january-01/