The author delves into the potential decline of Free and Open Source Software (FOSS), highlighting the factors that have traditionally supported its growth. The diminishing industry and labor surplus, decreased investment in non-“AI” software, COVID-related industry growth reassessment, lay-offs affecting coder employment and participation in FOSS, and the sustainability challenges faced by many FOSS projects are all discussed. The author raises concerns about the future of FOSS, suggesting a possible period of decline or worst-case scenario collapse due to declining surplus, burnout, and the potential erosion of trust in OSS projects. The uncertain sustainability of the FOSS ecosystem is emphasized, with worries about the system’s reliance on startup funding, post-acquisition savings, and corporate interests.
https://www.baldurbjarnason.com/2024/the-slow-evaporation-of-the-foss-surplus/